By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
May 1, 2026
Match Result: 2 - 3
%25 Success Rate

Groningen vs Excelsior Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Pre-match Analysis

This Eredivisie clash pits a solid home side, Groningen, against a poor travelling team, Excelsior. Groningen sits comfortably in 9th place, demonstrating particular strength at their Euroborg stadium where they concede less than a goal per game (0.9 GA/H). Their home record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses is respectable, and they have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their home matches. While their motivation may seem low, maintaining a top-half finish is a tangible goal.

Season Insights
Data calculated from all season matches
GroningenGroningen
VS
ExcelsiorExcelsior
18/34
Over 2.5 Goals
19/34
17/34
Both Teams Scored
21/34
24/34
Under 3.5 Goals
23/34
13/34
Scored First
9/34
10/34
Clean Sheet
6/34
7/34
Failed to Score
7/34
31/34
Under 4.5 Cards
34/34
1.8
Avg Cards/Match
1.3

Excelsior, in 14th, comes into this match following a stunning 5-0 victory, but their away form is a major concern. They have won only 3 of 15 away matches and concede an average of 2.0 goals per game on their travels. This defensive fragility is a recurring theme. The shot data further emphasizes Groningen's expected dominance; they average nearly twice as many shots per game (~11.5) as Excelsior (~5.9), which should translate into sustained attacking pressure and control of the match's tempo.

The tactical matchup heavily favors Groningen. Their organized 4-2-3-1 formation and defensive solidity at home should be enough to nullify Excelsior's attack, which, despite the recent 5-0 anomaly, is statistically weak on the road. The reverse fixture this season ended in a 2-0 away win for Groningen, providing a strong psychological and tactical precedent. While Excelsior might find a goal due to their 61% BTTS rate, Groningen's superiority at home is the most compelling factor in this contest.

Goals by Minute
Goal time distribution throughout the season
Groningen: 49
Excelsior: 41
Total: 90

AI-Generated Analysis β€” Transparent & Verified

This prediction was generated by Prodict's AI engine, analyzing 330+ statistical metrics including xG, team form, player data, referee tendencies, and real-time odds across 19 market categories.

Pre-match Key Factors

  • Groningen's strong home defense, conceding only 0.9 goals per game at the Euroborg.
  • Excelsior's extremely poor away defense, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game.
  • A significant disparity in attacking output, with Groningen taking nearly double the shots per match as Excelsior.
  • Groningen won the reverse fixture 2-0 away from home earlier this season.
Season Performance

League Statistics

Groningen
34
Groningen
D
L
L
W
W
VS
Excelsior
34
Excelsior
D
W
W
D
W
41%
Win Rate
29%
1.6
Goals per Match
1.4
1.1
Goals Conceded Avg
2.0
10
Clean Sheet
6
7
Failed to Score
7
1.7
Yellow Card Avg
1.2
0.1
Red Card Avg
0.1
100%
Penalty Success
100%
3
Longest Win Streak
2

Most Used Formations

Groningen

4-2-3-123 matches
4-4-211 matches

Excelsior

4-2-3-117 matches
4-3-310 matches
4-1-4-13 matches

Pre-match Picks

Sign up to see picks

Sign up to see picks
IDEAL
WON

πŸ”’ Locked Pick

IDEAL
LOST

πŸ”’ Locked Pick

VALUE
LOST

πŸ”’ Locked Pick

EKSTRA
LOST

πŸ”’ Locked Pick

Prodict AI

Prodict Analytics Team

AI Data & Prediction Engineers

This analysis is produced by Prodict's core artificial intelligence model. By processing millions of historical and real-time football data points, the model detects value bets and algorithmic edges independently of human bias.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win between Groningen vs Excelsior?

This Eredivisie clash pits a solid home side, Groningen, against a poor travelling team, Excelsior. Groningen sits comfortably in 9th place, demonstrating particular strength at their Euroborg stadium where they concede less than a goal per game (0.9 GA/H). Their home record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses is respectable, and they have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their home matches. While their motivation may seem low, maintaining a top-half finish is a tangible goal.

What is the AI prediction for Groningen vs Excelsior?

Excelsior, in 14th, comes into this match following a stunning 5-0 victory, but their away form is a major concern. They have won only 3 of 15 away matches and concede an average of 2.0 goals per game on their travels. This defensive fragility is a recurring theme. The shot data further emphasizes Groningen's expected dominance; they average nearly twice as many shots per game (~11.5) as Excelsior (~5.9), which should translate into sustained attacking pressure and control of the match's tempo.

Review Ended!

Don't miss other matches! Register for free to view detailed daily pre-match analyses and AI betting predictions.

Register for Free