Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Bahia welcomes bottom-of-the-table Chapecoense-sc to the Arena Fonte Nova in a highly consequential Serie A clash. Bahia, currently sitting in 6th place, is firmly in the hunt for a Europa League qualification spot. They have shown decent home stability and possess a significantly stronger squad than their opponents. On the other hand, Chapecoense-sc is rooted to the bottom of the table in 20th place. While their motivation for survival is extremely high, their on-field performances have been disastrous, especially on the road, where they have failed to win a single match this season (W0 D2 L6) and scored only 4 goals in 8 games.

Insights da Temporada

Dados calculados de todos os jogos da temporada

Bahia

VS

Chapecoense-sc

9/17

Over 2.5 Gols

10/17

12/17

Ambas as Equipes Marcaram

10/17

12/17

Under 3.5 Gols

11/17

6/17

Marcou Primeiro

1/17

4/17

Jogo Sem Sofrer Gol

1/17

1/17

Sem Marcar

6/17

11/17

Under 4.5 Cartões

12/17

2.6

Méd. Cartões/Jogo

2.4

Analyzing the offensive and defensive metrics reveals a stark contrast between the two sides. Bahia averages 1.5 goals scored per match overall, with their home average rising to 1.6 goals per game. Defensively, they concede 1.1 goals per game at Arena Fonte Nova. Chapecoense's away attack is virtually non-existent, averaging a mere 0.5 goals per match while conceding 1.6 goals per game on their travels. Chapecoense's shot conversion is also highly inefficient, averaging 8.3 shots per match but only 2.8 on target (34% accuracy), whereas Bahia is much more clinical with 4.5 shots on target from 8.5 shots per match (53% accuracy). This efficiency gap will likely dictate the flow of the game, with Bahia dominating possession and territory.

Given Chapecoense's tendency to start matches poorly and concede first in all of their determinable matches, backing Bahia to open the scoring is a highly secure selection. Furthermore, Bahia's superior quality and Chapecoense's dreadful away record make the Asian Handicap -1 on the hosts another excellent bet, offering a safety net in case of a one-goal victory. For the value selection, Chapecoense's abysmal away scoring record (failing to score in 50% of their away matches and averaging 0.5 goals) makes a Bahia clean sheet highly attractive at lucrative odds. Finally, the high stakes of the relegation battle and European race, combined with a high season average of 4.95 cards per match, makes Over 4.5 cards a stellar choice.