By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
April 10, 2026
Match Result: 3 - 3
%50 Taux de succès

Real Sociedad vs Alaves Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Analyse pré-match

This La Liga encounter features a Real Sociedad side pushing for European qualification against a mid-table Alaves team with little to play for. The primary dynamic is Real Sociedad's formidable home record (W8 D3 L4) clashing with Alaves' dreadful away form (W3 D2 L10). While Sociedad are clear favorites on paper, their extensive injury list, including key defensive players like Igor Zubeldia and the suspended Jon Martin, introduces significant uncertainty and levels the playing field, making this a 'Balanced' risk match. Alaves, despite their poor away record, have shown they can score, as evidenced in their recent 4-3 away win and scoring in both head-to-head matches this season.

Aperçus de la saison
Données calculées à partir de tous les matchs de la saison
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
VS
AlavesAlaves
23/37
Plus de 2,5 buts
18/37
29/37
Les deux équipes ont marqué
22/37
22/37
Moins de 3,5 buts
27/37
10/37
A marqué en premier
10/37
3/37
Clean sheet
5/37
5/37
N'a pas marqué
10/37
26/37
Moins de 4,5 cartons
23/37
2.4
Moy. cartons/match
2.6

Offensively, Real Sociedad are potent at the Reale Arena, averaging 1.9 goals per game and netting 29 times in 15 home fixtures. However, their defense is a major concern, having kept only two clean sheets in 15 home matches and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game at home. This defensive fragility is highlighted by their season-long 80% BTTS rate. Alaves presents a contrasting picture on their travels; they are offensively weak, failing to score in 7 of 15 away games (47%) and averaging just 0.9 goals. Defensively, they are vulnerable, conceding 1.7 goals per game on the road. This matchup suggests Sociedad will create plenty of chances against a leaky Alaves defense, but their own defensive issues offer Alaves a clear path to get on the scoresheet.

The statistical profile of both teams points towards several interesting markets. Real Sociedad's consistent home scoring against Alaves' poor away defensive record makes the home team's goal totals an attractive proposition. The 'Both Teams to Score' market also stands out, driven by Sociedad's extremely high BTTS percentage and their inability to keep clean sheets at home, which could negate Alaves' general struggles to score away from home. For value seekers, the handicap market offers a way to back the home favorite at better odds, banking on the stark difference in home and away performance.

Ultimately, while a home win is the most probable outcome, the value lies in markets that account for Sociedad's defensive frailties and goal-scoring prowess. The card market also presents a strong opportunity, with the combined average number of cards per game significantly higher than the betting line. Given Sociedad's injuries and Alaves' potential to find a goal against a weakened backline, a 2-1 home victory seems a plausible scoreline, reflecting both Sociedad's attacking strength and defensive vulnerabilities.

Buts par minute
Distribution des temps de but tout au long de la saison
Real Sociedad: 59
Alaves: 41
Total: 100

Analyse générée par IA — Transparente & Vérifiée

Cette prédiction a été générée par le moteur IA de Prodict, analysant 330+ métriques statistiques.

Facteurs clés pré-match

  • Real Sociedad's strong home attack (1.9 goals/game) vs. Alaves' poor away defense (1.7 conceded/game).
  • Alaves' struggles on the road, having lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
  • Real Sociedad's significant injury list, which could impact their performance and defensive stability.
Performance de la saison

Statistiques de la ligue

Real Sociedad
37
Real Sociedad
D
L
D
D
L
VS
Alaves
37
Alaves
W
L
D
W
W
30%
Taux de victoire
30%
1.9
Buts par match
1.0
1.6
Moy. buts encaissés
1.6
3
Clean sheet
5
5
N'a pas marqué
10
2.3
Moy. cartons jaunes
2.5
0.1
Moy. cartons rouges
0.1
100%
Réussite des penaltys
100%
3
Plus longue série de victoires
2

Formations les plus utilisées

Real Sociedad

4-2-3-113 matchs
4-4-212 matchs
4-1-4-110 matchs

Alaves

4-4-216 matchs
4-1-4-18 matchs
5-3-26 matchs

Picks pré-match

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IDEAL
GAGNÉ

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PERDU

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EKSTRA
PERDU

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Prodict AI

Équipe Analytique Prodict

Ingénieurs IA Data & Prédiction

Cette analyse est produite par le modèle d'intelligence artificielle principal de Prodict. En traitant des millions de données football historiques et en temps réel, le modèle détecte les paris valeur et les avantages algorithmiques indépendamment du biais humain.

Questions fréquemment posées

Qui va gagner entre Real Sociedad vs Alaves ?

This La Liga encounter features a Real Sociedad side pushing for European qualification against a mid-table Alaves team with little to play for. The primary dynamic is Real Sociedad's formidable home record (W8 D3 L4) clashing with Alaves' dreadful away form (W3 D2 L10). While Sociedad are clear favorites on paper, their extensive injury list, including key defensive players like Igor Zubeldia and the suspended Jon Martin, introduces significant uncertainty and levels the playing field, making this a 'Balanced' risk match. Alaves, despite their poor away record, have shown they can score, as evidenced in their recent 4-3 away win and scoring in both head-to-head matches this season.

Quelle est la prédiction IA pour Real Sociedad vs Alaves ?

Offensively, Real Sociedad are potent at the Reale Arena, averaging 1.9 goals per game and netting 29 times in 15 home fixtures. However, their defense is a major concern, having kept only two clean sheets in 15 home matches and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game at home. This defensive fragility is highlighted by their season-long 80% BTTS rate. Alaves presents a contrasting picture on their travels; they are offensively weak, failing to score in 7 of 15 away games (47%) and averaging just 0.9 goals. Defensively, they are vulnerable, conceding 1.7 goals per game on the road. This matchup suggests Sociedad will create plenty of chances against a leaky Alaves defense, but their own defensive issues offer Alaves a clear path to get on the scoresheet.

Analyse terminée !

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