By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
April 20, 2026
Match Result: 2 - 1
%0 Taux de succès

Real Madrid vs Alaves Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Analyse pré-match

This La Liga encounter at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu presents a classic top-versus-bottom scenario. Real Madrid, sitting 2nd, are in a fierce title race and cannot afford to drop points, especially at home against a struggling opponent. Their home record is formidable (13 wins in 16 matches), and they boast the league's most potent attack, averaging 2.3 goals per game on their own turf. Despite a recent draw and a loss, their overall form and quality are vastly superior to their opponents.

Aperçus de la saison
Données calculées à partir de tous les matchs de la saison
Real MadridReal Madrid
VS
AlavesAlaves
20/37
Plus de 2,5 buts
18/37
19/37
Les deux équipes ont marqué
22/37
25/37
Moins de 3,5 buts
27/37
23/37
A marqué en premier
10/37
14/37
Clean sheet
5/37
4/37
N'a pas marqué
10/37
30/37
Moins de 4,5 cartons
23/37
2
Moy. cartons/match
2.6

Alaves, positioned 17th, are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. However, their away form is a significant concern, having lost 10 of their 16 matches on the road while conceding a high average of 1.8 goals per game. Offensively, they are one of the weakest traveling sides, failing to score in 44% of their away fixtures (7 out of 16). The absence of suspended players like F. Garces and A. Rebbach further weakens their squad for this daunting trip.

The tactical matchup heavily favors Real Madrid. They will likely dominate possession and territory, forcing Alaves into a deep defensive block. Madrid's offensive power, led by Kylian Mbappé, should be able to break down this resistance. Defensively, Madrid concedes just 0.8 goals per game at home, making it difficult for Alaves' meager away attack to find a breakthrough. The combination of Madrid's high motivation, home advantage, and the sheer gulf in quality points towards a comfortable victory for the hosts.

Given the statistical disparity, the betting focus shifts from the outright winner to handicap and specific team markets. Real Madrid's tendency to score multiple goals at home makes handicap betting attractive. Furthermore, Alaves' poor scoring record on the road and Madrid's solid home defense make a clean sheet for the hosts a strong possibility. The pressure Alaves will face is also likely to translate into disciplinary action, making card markets a viable area for consideration.

Buts par minute
Distribution des temps de but tout au long de la saison
Real Madrid: 74
Alaves: 41
Total: 115

Analyse générée par IA — Transparente & Vérifiée

Cette prédiction a été générée par le moteur IA de Prodict, analysant 330+ métriques statistiques.

Facteurs clés pré-match

  • Real Madrid is in a tight title race and has immense motivation to win at home.
  • Alaves has a very poor away record, losing 10 of 16 matches and struggling to score goals on the road.
  • There is a significant gulf in quality, with Madrid's potent attack (2.3 goals/home game) facing Alaves' leaky away defense (1.8 conceded/away game).
Performance de la saison

Statistiques de la ligue

Real Madrid
37
Real Madrid
D
W
L
W
W
VS
Alaves
37
Alaves
W
L
D
W
W
70%
Taux de victoire
30%
2.3
Buts par match
1.0
0.8
Moy. buts encaissés
1.6
14
Clean sheet
5
4
N'a pas marqué
10
1.8
Moy. cartons jaunes
2.5
0.2
Moy. cartons rouges
0.1
100%
Réussite des penaltys
100%
8
Plus longue série de victoires
2

Formations les plus utilisées

Real Madrid

4-4-217 matchs
4-2-3-19 matchs
4-3-37 matchs

Alaves

4-4-216 matchs
4-1-4-18 matchs
5-3-26 matchs

Picks pré-match

Sign up to see picks

Sign up to see picks
IDEAL
PERDU

🔒 Locked Pick

IDEAL
PERDU

🔒 Locked Pick

VALUE
PERDU

🔒 Locked Pick

EKSTRA
PERDU

🔒 Locked Pick

Prodict AI

Équipe Analytique Prodict

Ingénieurs IA Data & Prédiction

Cette analyse est produite par le modèle d'intelligence artificielle principal de Prodict. En traitant des millions de données football historiques et en temps réel, le modèle détecte les paris valeur et les avantages algorithmiques indépendamment du biais humain.

Questions fréquemment posées

Qui va gagner entre Real Madrid vs Alaves ?

This La Liga encounter at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu presents a classic top-versus-bottom scenario. Real Madrid, sitting 2nd, are in a fierce title race and cannot afford to drop points, especially at home against a struggling opponent. Their home record is formidable (13 wins in 16 matches), and they boast the league's most potent attack, averaging 2.3 goals per game on their own turf. Despite a recent draw and a loss, their overall form and quality are vastly superior to their opponents.

Quelle est la prédiction IA pour Real Madrid vs Alaves ?

Alaves, positioned 17th, are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. However, their away form is a significant concern, having lost 10 of their 16 matches on the road while conceding a high average of 1.8 goals per game. Offensively, they are one of the weakest traveling sides, failing to score in 44% of their away fixtures (7 out of 16). The absence of suspended players like F. Garces and A. Rebbach further weakens their squad for this daunting trip.

Analyse terminée !

Ne manquez pas les autres matchs ! Inscrivez-vous gratuitement pour voir les analyses pré-match quotidiennes détaillées et les prédictions de paris IA.

S'inscrire gratuitement