By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
April 11, 2026
Match Result: 1 - 1
%0 Taux de succès

Parma vs Napoli Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Analyse pré-match

This Serie A clash presents a stark contrast in form and motivation. Napoli, sitting 2nd and embroiled in a title race, are on a five-game winning streak. Their motivation is at its peak. In contrast, 13th-placed Parma are winless in their last five matches (D2, L3) and appear to be drifting in mid-table with little to play for. The statistical chasm between the two sides is significant, particularly in attack, where Parma's struggles are profound.

Aperçus de la saison
Données calculées à partir de tous les matchs de la saison
ParmaParma
VS
NapoliNapoli
12/37
Plus de 2,5 buts
17/37
9/37
Les deux équipes ont marqué
15/37
32/37
Moins de 3,5 buts
28/37
9/37
A marqué en premier
20/37
12/37
Clean sheet
14/37
16/37
N'a pas marqué
8/37
33/37
Moins de 4,5 cartons
37/37
1.9
Moy. cartons/match
1.4

Parma's offensive output is one of the weakest in the league, averaging a mere 0.7 goals per game. Their situation is exacerbated by the suspension of their top scorer, Mateo Pellegrino (8 goals), which severely blunts their already limited attacking threat. They have failed to score in 47% of their home fixtures. Defensively, they are vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals per game at the Stadio Ennio Tardini. Napoli, while potent, has several key defensive injuries including Di Lorenzo and Rrahmani, which could offer Parma a slight opening. However, Napoli's overall system and quality should still be enough to control the game against a side in such poor form.

Napoli's away form is strong (W9 D1 L6), and they have demonstrated the ability to grind out results, as shown in their recent 1-0 victories. They start games quickly, scoring in the first 15 minutes ten times this season, a period where Parma has been particularly vulnerable, conceding seven times. The earlier season fixture ended in a 0-0 draw, but the current trajectories of the two clubs suggest a different outcome is likely. Napoli's need for three points is absolute, and they face a team that is out of form, offensively crippled, and defensively suspect at home.

Given these factors, the analysis points towards a controlled victory for Napoli. The key betting angles revolve around Parma's inability to score and Napoli's drive to win. While Napoli's injuries introduce a slight risk, the gulf in quality, motivation, and current form is too large to ignore. Bets focusing on a low-scoring Napoli win, a clean sheet for the visitors, and potential for disciplinary action against a frustrated home side appear to be the most logical, data-supported approaches.

Buts par minute
Distribution des temps de but tout au long de la saison
Parma: 26
Napoli: 56
Total: 82

Analyse générée par IA — Transparente & Vérifiée

Cette prédiction a été générée par le moteur IA de Prodict, analysant 330+ métriques statistiques.

Facteurs clés pré-match

  • Napoli is in a title race and on a 5-game winning streak; Parma is winless in their last 5.
  • Parma's top scorer, Mateo Pellegrino (8 goals), is suspended, crippling their already weak attack (0.7 goals/game).
  • Napoli has several key injuries, particularly in defense (Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani), which is the main risk factor against a comfortable win.
Performance de la saison

Statistiques de la ligue

Parma
37
Parma
W
W
L
L
L
VS
Napoli
37
Napoli
L
W
D
L
W
27%
Taux de victoire
59%
0.8
Buts par match
1.3
1.4
Moy. buts encaissés
0.9
12
Clean sheet
14
16
N'a pas marqué
8
1.7
Moy. cartons jaunes
1.3
0.1
Moy. cartons rouges
0.1
100%
Réussite des penaltys
100%
3
Plus longue série de victoires
5

Formations les plus utilisées

Parma

3-5-218 matchs
4-3-36 matchs
3-4-2-14 matchs

Napoli

3-4-2-121 matchs
4-1-4-18 matchs
3-4-35 matchs

Picks pré-match

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Prodict AI

Équipe Analytique Prodict

Ingénieurs IA Data & Prédiction

Cette analyse est produite par le modèle d'intelligence artificielle principal de Prodict. En traitant des millions de données football historiques et en temps réel, le modèle détecte les paris valeur et les avantages algorithmiques indépendamment du biais humain.

Questions fréquemment posées

Qui va gagner entre Parma vs Napoli ?

This Serie A clash presents a stark contrast in form and motivation. Napoli, sitting 2nd and embroiled in a title race, are on a five-game winning streak. Their motivation is at its peak. In contrast, 13th-placed Parma are winless in their last five matches (D2, L3) and appear to be drifting in mid-table with little to play for. The statistical chasm between the two sides is significant, particularly in attack, where Parma's struggles are profound.

Quelle est la prédiction IA pour Parma vs Napoli ?

Parma's offensive output is one of the weakest in the league, averaging a mere 0.7 goals per game. Their situation is exacerbated by the suspension of their top scorer, Mateo Pellegrino (8 goals), which severely blunts their already limited attacking threat. They have failed to score in 47% of their home fixtures. Defensively, they are vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals per game at the Stadio Ennio Tardini. Napoli, while potent, has several key defensive injuries including Di Lorenzo and Rrahmani, which could offer Parma a slight opening. However, Napoli's overall system and quality should still be enough to control the game against a side in such poor form.

Analyse terminée !

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