By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
April 17, 2026
Match Result: 1 - 2
%50 Taux de succès

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Analyse pré-match

This Premier League fixture features two mid-table teams, Newcastle and Bournemouth, with little pressure from relegation or for European spots. Newcastle's recent form is concerning, with three losses in their last five matches. Their home record at St. James' Park is respectable (W8 D2 L6), where they average 1.8 goals scored but also concede a high 1.6 goals per game. However, their squad is critically weakened by the absence of their best player, Bruno Guimarães, due to injury, and the suspension of the physical midfielder Joelinton. These absences significantly impact their midfield control and creative output.

Aperçus de la saison
Données calculées à partir de tous les matchs de la saison
NewcastleNewcastle
VS
BournemouthBournemouth
20/37
Plus de 2,5 buts
21/37
21/37
Les deux équipes ont marqué
19/37
25/37
Moins de 3,5 buts
24/37
13/37
A marqué en premier
12/37
8/37
Clean sheet
11/37
8/37
N'a pas marqué
7/37
33/37
Moins de 4,5 cartons
26/37
1.8
Moy. cartons/match
2.4

Bournemouth arrives in a peculiar state of form, having drawn four of their last five matches, showcasing resilience but a lack of a killer instinct. They are the league's draw specialists, with 15 draws in 32 matches (47%). Their away form is a story of defensive frailty; while they manage to score an impressive 1.6 goals per game on the road, they concede an alarming 2.0 goals. This defensive vulnerability away from home is a consistent theme and a key factor for this matchup. The two head-to-head encounters this season have both ended in draws (2-2 and 0-0), suggesting the teams are evenly matched.

Given Newcastle's depleted squad and Bournemouth's tendency to draw, a close game is expected. Both teams have demonstrated consistent goal-scoring ability but also defensive weaknesses. Newcastle's potent home attack will likely test Bournemouth's leaky away defense, while Bournemouth's counter-attacking threat and ability to score on the road should trouble a Newcastle side missing key defensive personnel. The statistics for both teams point towards goals, with high averages for goals per game and a 66% BTTS rate for both sides this season. The combination of Newcastle's injuries and Bournemouth's stubborn, draw-heavy nature makes a stalemate a very plausible outcome.

Buts par minute
Distribution des temps de but tout au long de la saison
Newcastle: 55
Bournemouth: 59
Total: 114

Analyse générée par IA — Transparente & Vérifiée

Cette prédiction a été générée par le moteur IA de Prodict, analysant 330+ métriques statistiques.

Facteurs clés pré-match

  • Newcastle are missing their best player, Bruno Guimarães, and key midfielder Joelinton.
  • Bournemouth has drawn 15 of 32 league games (47%), including 4 of their last 5.
  • Bournemouth's away matches are high-scoring, with them conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Performance de la saison

Statistiques de la ligue

Newcastle
37
Newcastle
L
L
W
D
W
VS
Bournemouth
37
Bournemouth
W
D
W
W
D
38%
Taux de victoire
35%
1.9
Buts par match
1.6
1.6
Moy. buts encaissés
1.8
8
Clean sheet
11
8
N'a pas marqué
7
1.8
Moy. cartons jaunes
2.4
0.1
Moy. cartons rouges
0.1
100%
Réussite des penaltys
100%
3
Plus longue série de victoires
3

Formations les plus utilisées

Newcastle

4-3-327 matchs
4-2-3-16 matchs
5-3-21 matchs

Bournemouth

4-2-3-135 matchs
4-1-4-12 matchs

Picks pré-match

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Prodict AI

Équipe Analytique Prodict

Ingénieurs IA Data & Prédiction

Cette analyse est produite par le modèle d'intelligence artificielle principal de Prodict. En traitant des millions de données football historiques et en temps réel, le modèle détecte les paris valeur et les avantages algorithmiques indépendamment du biais humain.

Questions fréquemment posées

Qui va gagner entre Newcastle vs Bournemouth ?

This Premier League fixture features two mid-table teams, Newcastle and Bournemouth, with little pressure from relegation or for European spots. Newcastle's recent form is concerning, with three losses in their last five matches. Their home record at St. James' Park is respectable (W8 D2 L6), where they average 1.8 goals scored but also concede a high 1.6 goals per game. However, their squad is critically weakened by the absence of their best player, Bruno Guimarães, due to injury, and the suspension of the physical midfielder Joelinton. These absences significantly impact their midfield control and creative output.

Quelle est la prédiction IA pour Newcastle vs Bournemouth ?

Bournemouth arrives in a peculiar state of form, having drawn four of their last five matches, showcasing resilience but a lack of a killer instinct. They are the league's draw specialists, with 15 draws in 32 matches (47%). Their away form is a story of defensive frailty; while they manage to score an impressive 1.6 goals per game on the road, they concede an alarming 2.0 goals. This defensive vulnerability away from home is a consistent theme and a key factor for this matchup. The two head-to-head encounters this season have both ended in draws (2-2 and 0-0), suggesting the teams are evenly matched.

Analyse terminée !

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