By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
July 16, 2026
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Mirassol vs Gremio Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Analyse pré-match

Mirassol hosts Gremio in Serie A. Mirassol is currently in a balanced position, showing mixed home form (3W, 3D, 3L) but facing a Gremio side that has been absolutely dreadful on the road. Gremio has failed to win a single away match this season (0W, 4D, 5L), scoring a meager 5 goals in 9 away fixtures. This makes Mirassol the clear favorite to take at least a point, if not all three. The match risk level is BALANCED, but given Gremio's historic away struggles, we lean towards a low-scoring home-dominated game.

Aperçus de la saison
Données calculées à partir de tous les matchs de la saison
MirassolMirassol
VS
GremioGremio
8/17
Plus de 2,5 buts
8/18
10/17
Les deux équipes ont marqué
7/18
13/17
Moins de 3,5 buts
14/18
4/17
A marqué en premier
5/18
1/17
Clean sheet
5/18
6/17
N'a pas marqué
6/18
9/17
Moins de 4,5 cartons
12/18
2.9
Moy. cartons/match
2.6

Mirassol's offense averages 1.2 goals per match at home, while their defense concedes 1.2. They are not overly prolific but remain highly competitive. On the other hand, Gremio's away offensive output is extremely poor, averaging just 0.56 goals per match. Defensively, Gremio concedes 1.3 goals per match on the road. Gremio's shot accuracy away is decent (48%), but they only take 6.7 shots per match, resulting in very few clear-cut opportunities. This low-volume attacking style suggests a low-scoring affair, especially against a Mirassol side that will look to control the tempo at home.

For the first IDEAL bet, 'Goals Over/Under: Under 2.5' at 1.70 is highly backed by Gremio's low-scoring away trend (only 5 goals scored in 9 games) and their defensive setup. For the second IDEAL bet, 'Asian Handicap: Home -0.25' at 1.68 offers great protection; Gremio's winless away record (0-4-5) means a draw is the worst-case scenario for Mirassol, which would only result in a half-loss. The VALUE bet of 'Match Winner: Home' at 2.00 is justified by Gremio's inability to secure three points on the road and Mirassol's motivation to exploit this weakness. Finally, the EKSTRA bet of 'Away Team Total Cards: Over 2.5' at 1.67 is selected because Gremio will likely be under intense pressure away from home, and they already average 2.55 cards per match this season.

Gremio's away record of 0 wins in 9 matches is the strongest statistical indicator for a home-leaning result. Under 2.5 goals has hit in 16 of Gremio's 18 total matches this season, showing an incredibly consistent low-scoring pattern. Mirassol has scored in 7 of their 9 home matches, while Gremio has failed to score in 4 of their 9 away matches. In terms of discipline, the combined card average of 5.43 cards per match, coupled with Gremio's defensive pressure on the road, makes the card market highly lucrative.

Buts par minute
Distribution des temps de but tout au long de la saison
Mirassol: 17
Gremio: 19
Total: 36

Analyse générée par IA — Transparente & Vérifiée

Cette prédiction a été générée par le moteur IA de Prodict, analysant 330+ métriques statistiques.

Facteurs clés pré-match

  • Gremio is winless in all 9 away matches this season (0W, 4D, 5L).
  • Gremio has scored only 5 goals in 9 away games, averaging 0.56 goals/match.
  • Under 2.5 goals has hit in 16 of Gremio's 18 matches this season.
Performance de la saison

Statistiques de la ligue

Mirassol
17
Mirassol
W
D
L
W
L
VS
Gremio
18
Gremio
D
L
D
W
L
24%
Taux de victoire
28%
1.2
Buts par match
0.6
1.2
Moy. buts encaissés
1.3
1
Clean sheet
5
6
N'a pas marqué
6
2.8
Moy. cartons jaunes
2.3
0.1
Moy. cartons rouges
0.2
100%
Réussite des penaltys
100%
1
Plus longue série de victoires
1

Formations les plus utilisées

Mirassol

4-2-3-112 matchs
3-5-22 matchs
4-3-31 matchs

Gremio

4-2-3-17 matchs
4-3-34 matchs
4-1-4-14 matchs

Picks pré-match

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IDEAL

🔒 Locked Pick

IDEAL

🔒 Locked Pick

VALUE

🔒 Locked Pick

EKSTRA

🔒 Locked Pick

Prodict AI

Équipe Analytique Prodict

Ingénieurs IA Data & Prédiction

Cette analyse est produite par le modèle d'intelligence artificielle principal de Prodict. En traitant des millions de données football historiques et en temps réel, le modèle détecte les paris valeur et les avantages algorithmiques indépendamment du biais humain.

Questions fréquemment posées

Qui va gagner entre Mirassol vs Gremio ?

Mirassol hosts Gremio in Serie A. Mirassol is currently in a balanced position, showing mixed home form (3W, 3D, 3L) but facing a Gremio side that has been absolutely dreadful on the road. Gremio has failed to win a single away match this season (0W, 4D, 5L), scoring a meager 5 goals in 9 away fixtures. This makes Mirassol the clear favorite to take at least a point, if not all three. The match risk level is BALANCED, but given Gremio's historic away struggles, we lean towards a low-scoring home-dominated game.

Quelle est la prédiction IA pour Mirassol vs Gremio ?

Mirassol's offense averages 1.2 goals per match at home, while their defense concedes 1.2. They are not overly prolific but remain highly competitive. On the other hand, Gremio's away offensive output is extremely poor, averaging just 0.56 goals per match. Defensively, Gremio concedes 1.3 goals per match on the road. Gremio's shot accuracy away is decent (48%), but they only take 6.7 shots per match, resulting in very few clear-cut opportunities. This low-volume attacking style suggests a low-scoring affair, especially against a Mirassol side that will look to control the tempo at home.

Analyse terminée !

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