By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
May 21, 2026
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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Analyse pré-match

This final day Serie A fixture sees mid-table Fiorentina host Atalanta, with neither side having significant motivation for European places or relegation battles. This lack of pressure can lead to unpredictable outcomes, hence the balanced risk assessment. Fiorentina's season has been defined by inconsistency and a particular weakness at home, where they've managed only 4 wins in 18 matches, drawing 8 times. Their attack is notably weak, averaging just 1.1 goals at the Stadio Artemio Franchi and failing to score in four of their last five matches before a surprising win against Juventus. Their home games are characteristically low-scoring, with a goal difference of 20-20 across 18 matches.

Aperçus de la saison
Données calculées à partir de tous les matchs de la saison
FiorentinaFiorentina
VS
AtalantaAtalanta
16/37
Plus de 2,5 buts
15/37
16/37
Les deux équipes ont marqué
16/37
29/37
Moins de 3,5 buts
30/37
8/37
A marqué en premier
14/37
10/37
Clean sheet
13/37
11/37
N'a pas marqué
8/37
27/37
Moins de 4,5 cartons
35/37
2.3
Moy. cartons/match
1.6

Atalanta, positioned higher in 7th, presents a more potent offensive threat. They average 1.4 goals per away match and have only failed to score in two of their 18 away fixtures all season. However, their own form is patchy, and they've also been prone to draws on the road, with 7 in 18 games. Defensively, they are solid, conceding just 1.1 goals per away game. The statistical matchup points towards a tight contest where Atalanta's superior attack is balanced by Fiorentina's tendency to grind out low-scoring draws at home. The betting odds reflect this parity, with both teams priced almost identically to win.

Given Fiorentina's offensive struggles at home, a bet on them scoring under 1.5 goals appears statistically robust. They've achieved this in 13 of their 18 home games. Furthermore, both teams have shown a clear pattern of being more active in the second half, making a low-scoring first half a strong possibility. The Under 1.5 goals in the first half has been a winning bet in over 70% of both teams' matches this season. For value, backing Atalanta with a +0 Asian Handicap is logical; it leverages their superior league standing and provides a safety net against the high probability of a draw. Finally, the card market offers a solid 'Ekstra' bet, as the combined average of 3.94 cards per game exceeds the bookmaker's line of 3.5, driven by Fiorentina's poor discipline.

Buts par minute
Distribution des temps de but tout au long de la saison
Fiorentina: 40
Atalanta: 51
Total: 91

Analyse générée par IA — Transparente & Vérifiée

Cette prédiction a été générée par le moteur IA de Prodict, analysant 330+ métriques statistiques.

Facteurs clés pré-match

  • Fiorentina has a very poor home record, with 8 draws and only 4 wins in 18 matches.
  • Atalanta has failed to score in only 2 of 18 away games this season, showing consistent offensive threat on the road.
  • Both teams have low motivation, which could lead to a less intense game, but statistical trends from the season remain relevant.
Performance de la saison

Statistiques de la ligue

Fiorentina
37
Fiorentina
D
D
L
D
W
VS
Atalanta
37
Atalanta
D
L
D
W
L
24%
Taux de victoire
41%
1.1
Buts par match
1.4
1.1
Moy. buts encaissés
1.1
10
Clean sheet
13
11
N'a pas marqué
8
2.2
Moy. cartons jaunes
1.6
0.1
Moy. cartons rouges
0.1
100%
Réussite des penaltys
100%
2
Plus longue série de victoires
3

Formations les plus utilisées

Fiorentina

4-3-314 matchs
3-5-28 matchs
3-4-2-13 matchs

Atalanta

3-4-2-133 matchs
3-4-1-23 matchs
4-3-31 matchs

Picks pré-match

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IDEAL

🔒 Locked Pick

IDEAL

🔒 Locked Pick

VALUE

🔒 Locked Pick

EKSTRA

🔒 Locked Pick

Prodict AI

Équipe Analytique Prodict

Ingénieurs IA Data & Prédiction

Cette analyse est produite par le modèle d'intelligence artificielle principal de Prodict. En traitant des millions de données football historiques et en temps réel, le modèle détecte les paris valeur et les avantages algorithmiques indépendamment du biais humain.

Questions fréquemment posées

Qui va gagner entre Fiorentina vs Atalanta ?

This final day Serie A fixture sees mid-table Fiorentina host Atalanta, with neither side having significant motivation for European places or relegation battles. This lack of pressure can lead to unpredictable outcomes, hence the balanced risk assessment. Fiorentina's season has been defined by inconsistency and a particular weakness at home, where they've managed only 4 wins in 18 matches, drawing 8 times. Their attack is notably weak, averaging just 1.1 goals at the Stadio Artemio Franchi and failing to score in four of their last five matches before a surprising win against Juventus. Their home games are characteristically low-scoring, with a goal difference of 20-20 across 18 matches.

Quelle est la prédiction IA pour Fiorentina vs Atalanta ?

Atalanta, positioned higher in 7th, presents a more potent offensive threat. They average 1.4 goals per away match and have only failed to score in two of their 18 away fixtures all season. However, their own form is patchy, and they've also been prone to draws on the road, with 7 in 18 games. Defensively, they are solid, conceding just 1.1 goals per away game. The statistical matchup points towards a tight contest where Atalanta's superior attack is balanced by Fiorentina's tendency to grind out low-scoring draws at home. The betting odds reflect this parity, with both teams priced almost identically to win.

Analyse terminée !

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