By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
August 15, 2026
Match Result: 3 - 3
%25 Taux de succès

Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Analyse pré-match

Chapecoense-sc hosts Bahia in a Serie A matchup defined by a massive gap in overall team quality and form. Chapecoense sits rooted to the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 1 win from 21 matches (1W 7D 13L) and a severe -23 goal differential. They face 6th-placed Bahia (8W 9D 5L), who are actively contending for continental qualification and enter this fixture unbeaten in their last 5 matches. Chapecoense enters under heavy pressure with high squad injury attrition, while Bahia holds both motivational and structural edges.

Aperçus de la saison
Données calculées à partir de tous les matchs de la saison
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
VS
BahiaBahia
13/23
Plus de 2,5 buts
11/24
13/23
Les deux équipes ont marqué
13/24
15/23
Moins de 3,5 buts
18/24
2/23
A marqué en premier
8/24
2/23
Clean sheet
8/24
8/23
N'a pas marqué
3/24
18/23
Moins de 4,5 cartons
17/24
2.2
Moy. cartons/match
2.4

From a tactical and efficiency standpoint, Chapecoense's defensive unit has collapsed, conceding 2.05 goals per match overall and an alarming 2.4 goals per match at home (24 goals conceded in 10 home games). Their measured recent stats highlight an defensive leak with an xGA of 1.42 and actual 2.13 goals conceded per game over their last 8 matches. Conversely, Bahia generates far greater territorial dominance and offensive output, averaging 15.14 shots per match and 1.31 xG in their recent outing sample while limiting opponents to 0.8 xGA.

Statistically, key micro-markets present very clear backing. Chapecoense has failed to score first in 100% of recorded games this season (0% ScoredFirst rate), consistently conceding early control to opponents. Bahia defeated Chapecoense 2-0 comfortably in their meeting just one month ago. Additionally, measured corners reflect dynamic wide play with both teams combining for an average of ~10.8 total corners per match in recent fixtures. Discipline is also expected to intensify as Chapecoense battles survival, where combined cards average 4.56 per match.

Main uncertainties revolve around Bahia's high frequency of draws away from home (3 draws in 10 away trips, along with 4 consecutive draws in recent league games). However, facing the league's weakest home defense provides Bahia the ideal setting to secure a full three points.

Buts par minute
Distribution des temps de but tout au long de la saison
Chapecoense-sc: 25
Bahia: 33
Total: 58

Analyse générée par IA — Transparente & Vérifiée

Cette prédiction a été générée par le moteur IA de Prodict, analysant 330+ métriques statistiques.

Facteurs clés pré-match

  • Chapecoense sits bottom of Serie A in 20th place with 1 win in 21 games and 43 goals conceded (2.4 per home game).
  • Chapecoense has conceded the first goal in 100% of recorded fixtures this season (0% ScoredFirst rate).
  • Bahia defeated Chapecoense 2-0 in their recent head-to-head meeting on July 17th.
  • Measured recent match stats show a combined corner average of ~10.8 per match between both clubs.
  • Both teams combine for 4.56 cards per match, with card frequency escalating heavily in second halves (59 combined 2H yellow cards).
Performance de la saison

Statistiques de la ligue

Chapecoense-sc
23
Chapecoense-sc
L
D
L
D
W
VS
Bahia
24
Bahia
D
D
D
D
W
9%
Taux de victoire
38%
1.4
Buts par match
1.4
2.3
Moy. buts encaissés
1.4
2
Clean sheet
8
8
N'a pas marqué
3
2.1
Moy. cartons jaunes
2.3
0.1
Moy. cartons rouges
0.1
66%
Réussite des penaltys
71%
1
Plus longue série de victoires
2

Formations les plus utilisées

Chapecoense-sc

4-2-3-16 matchs
3-4-1-23 matchs
3-4-33 matchs

Bahia

4-3-314 matchs
4-2-3-13 matchs
4-1-4-12 matchs

Picks pré-match

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Prodict AI

Équipe Analytique Prodict

Ingénieurs IA Data & Prédiction

Cette analyse est produite par le modèle d'intelligence artificielle principal de Prodict. En traitant des millions de données football historiques et en temps réel, le modèle détecte les paris valeur et les avantages algorithmiques indépendamment du biais humain.

Questions fréquemment posées

Qui va gagner entre Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia ?

Chapecoense-sc hosts Bahia in a Serie A matchup defined by a massive gap in overall team quality and form. Chapecoense sits rooted to the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 1 win from 21 matches (1W 7D 13L) and a severe -23 goal differential. They face 6th-placed Bahia (8W 9D 5L), who are actively contending for continental qualification and enter this fixture unbeaten in their last 5 matches. Chapecoense enters under heavy pressure with high squad injury attrition, while Bahia holds both motivational and structural edges.

Quelle est la prédiction IA pour Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia ?

From a tactical and efficiency standpoint, Chapecoense's defensive unit has collapsed, conceding 2.05 goals per match overall and an alarming 2.4 goals per match at home (24 goals conceded in 10 home games). Their measured recent stats highlight an defensive leak with an xGA of 1.42 and actual 2.13 goals conceded per game over their last 8 matches. Conversely, Bahia generates far greater territorial dominance and offensive output, averaging 15.14 shots per match and 1.31 xG in their recent outing sample while limiting opponents to 0.8 xGA.

Analyse terminée !

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