By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
May 9, 2026
Match Result: 1 - 2
%50 Taux de succès

Bahia vs Cruzeiro Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Analyse pré-match

This Serie A clash pits a European spot contender, Bahia, against a mid-table Cruzeiro side struggling on the road. Bahia, currently 6th, has strong motivation to secure points at home to maintain their continental qualification push. While their recent form shows a couple of draws, their performance at Arena Fonte Nova has been relatively solid (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss), and they have consistently found the net in every home fixture. The key dynamic of this match is the stark contrast between Bahia's home stability and Cruzeiro's away fragility.

Aperçus de la saison
Données calculées à partir de tous les matchs de la saison
BahiaBahia
VS
CruzeiroCruzeiro
7/15
Plus de 2,5 buts
9/16
10/15
Les deux équipes ont marqué
9/16
11/15
Moins de 3,5 buts
11/16
5/15
A marqué en premier
5/16
4/15
Clean sheet
4/16
1/15
N'a pas marqué
3/16
10/15
Moins de 4,5 cartons
10/16
2.5
Moy. cartons/match
2.6

Cruzeiro's away record is alarming. They have lost four of their six away matches, managing to score only five goals while conceding a staggering 14 (an average of 2.33 goals against per game). This defensive frailty on the road is their biggest weakness. Offensively, they are also impotent away from home, averaging just 0.8 goals per game. Compounding their issues are key suspensions to K. Arroyo and Kaiki, which will disrupt their structure. Bahia, while not overwhelmingly dominant, is efficient at home, scoring 1.7 goals per game and conceding just 1.0. This matchup heavily favors Bahia's ability to exploit Cruzeiro's defensive vulnerabilities.

From a betting perspective, the analysis points towards a home-sided result with goals. Bahia's consistent home scoring against Cruzeiro's leaky away defense makes home team goal markets particularly attractive. The first half also presents opportunities, as 100% of Bahia's games this season have featured a goal before halftime. Furthermore, the pressure on Cruzeiro, combined with the presence of card-prone players like Matheus Pereira, makes the card market a viable angle. The Asian Handicap for Bahia offers a good balance of value and security, covering the possibility of a draw which has been a common outcome for them at home.

Buts par minute
Distribution des temps de but tout au long de la saison
Bahia: 23
Cruzeiro: 21
Total: 44

Analyse générée par IA — Transparente & Vérifiée

Cette prédiction a été générée par le moteur IA de Prodict, analysant 330+ métriques statistiques.

Facteurs clés pré-match

  • Cruzeiro's extremely poor away form (1W, 1D, 4L) and high goals conceded rate (2.3 per game).
  • Bahia's solid home record and consistent scoring at Arena Fonte Nova (1.7 goals per game, scored in 100% of home games).
  • Cruzeiro's key player absences due to suspension (K. Arroyo, Kaiki) and the high card susceptibility of their main playmaker, Matheus Pereira.
Performance de la saison

Statistiques de la ligue

Bahia
15
Bahia
L
D
D
L
D
VS
Cruzeiro
16
Cruzeiro
W
W
L
W
D
40%
Taux de victoire
31%
1.5
Buts par match
1.0
1.1
Moy. buts encaissés
2.0
4
Clean sheet
4
1
N'a pas marqué
3
2.3
Moy. cartons jaunes
2.4
0.1
Moy. cartons rouges
0.2
100%
Réussite des penaltys
100%
2
Plus longue série de victoires
3

Formations les plus utilisées

Bahia

4-3-310 matchs
4-2-3-12 matchs
4-3-2-11 matchs

Cruzeiro

4-2-3-116 matchs

Picks pré-match

Sign up to see picks

Sign up to see picks
IDEAL
PERDU

🔒 Locked Pick

IDEAL
GAGNÉ

🔒 Locked Pick

VALUE
PERDU

🔒 Locked Pick

EKSTRA
GAGNÉ

🔒 Locked Pick

Prodict AI

Équipe Analytique Prodict

Ingénieurs IA Data & Prédiction

Cette analyse est produite par le modèle d'intelligence artificielle principal de Prodict. En traitant des millions de données football historiques et en temps réel, le modèle détecte les paris valeur et les avantages algorithmiques indépendamment du biais humain.

Questions fréquemment posées

Qui va gagner entre Bahia vs Cruzeiro ?

This Serie A clash pits a European spot contender, Bahia, against a mid-table Cruzeiro side struggling on the road. Bahia, currently 6th, has strong motivation to secure points at home to maintain their continental qualification push. While their recent form shows a couple of draws, their performance at Arena Fonte Nova has been relatively solid (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss), and they have consistently found the net in every home fixture. The key dynamic of this match is the stark contrast between Bahia's home stability and Cruzeiro's away fragility.

Quelle est la prédiction IA pour Bahia vs Cruzeiro ?

Cruzeiro's away record is alarming. They have lost four of their six away matches, managing to score only five goals while conceding a staggering 14 (an average of 2.33 goals against per game). This defensive frailty on the road is their biggest weakness. Offensively, they are also impotent away from home, averaging just 0.8 goals per game. Compounding their issues are key suspensions to K. Arroyo and Kaiki, which will disrupt their structure. Bahia, while not overwhelmingly dominant, is efficient at home, scoring 1.7 goals per game and conceding just 1.0. This matchup heavily favors Bahia's ability to exploit Cruzeiro's defensive vulnerabilities.

Analyse terminée !

Ne manquez pas les autres matchs ! Inscrivez-vous gratuitement pour voir les analyses pré-match quotidiennes détaillées et les prédictions de paris IA.

S'inscrire gratuitement