By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
July 16, 2026
%0 Taux de succès

Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Analyse pré-match

Bahia welcomes bottom-of-the-table Chapecoense-sc to the Arena Fonte Nova in a highly consequential Serie A clash. Bahia, currently sitting in 6th place, is firmly in the hunt for a Europa League qualification spot. They have shown decent home stability and possess a significantly stronger squad than their opponents. On the other hand, Chapecoense-sc is rooted to the bottom of the table in 20th place. While their motivation for survival is extremely high, their on-field performances have been disastrous, especially on the road, where they have failed to win a single match this season (W0 D2 L6) and scored only 4 goals in 8 games.

Aperçus de la saison
Données calculées à partir de tous les matchs de la saison
BahiaBahia
VS
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
9/17
Plus de 2,5 buts
10/17
12/17
Les deux équipes ont marqué
10/17
12/17
Moins de 3,5 buts
11/17
6/17
A marqué en premier
1/17
4/17
Clean sheet
1/17
1/17
N'a pas marqué
6/17
11/17
Moins de 4,5 cartons
12/17
2.6
Moy. cartons/match
2.4

Analyzing the offensive and defensive metrics reveals a stark contrast between the two sides. Bahia averages 1.5 goals scored per match overall, with their home average rising to 1.6 goals per game. Defensively, they concede 1.1 goals per game at Arena Fonte Nova. Chapecoense's away attack is virtually non-existent, averaging a mere 0.5 goals per match while conceding 1.6 goals per game on their travels. Chapecoense's shot conversion is also highly inefficient, averaging 8.3 shots per match but only 2.8 on target (34% accuracy), whereas Bahia is much more clinical with 4.5 shots on target from 8.5 shots per match (53% accuracy). This efficiency gap will likely dictate the flow of the game, with Bahia dominating possession and territory.

Given Chapecoense's tendency to start matches poorly and concede first in all of their determinable matches, backing Bahia to open the scoring is a highly secure selection. Furthermore, Bahia's superior quality and Chapecoense's dreadful away record make the Asian Handicap -1 on the hosts another excellent bet, offering a safety net in case of a one-goal victory. For the value selection, Chapecoense's abysmal away scoring record (failing to score in 50% of their away matches and averaging 0.5 goals) makes a Bahia clean sheet highly attractive at lucrative odds. Finally, the high stakes of the relegation battle and European race, combined with a high season average of 4.95 cards per match, makes Over 4.5 cards a stellar choice.

Buts par minute
Distribution des temps de but tout au long de la saison
Bahia: 25
Chapecoense-sc: 17
Total: 42

Analyse générée par IA — Transparente & Vérifiée

Cette prédiction a été générée par le moteur IA de Prodict, analysant 330+ métriques statistiques.

Facteurs clés pré-match

  • Chapecoense-sc is winless on the road this season (W0 D2 L6) and has scored just 4 goals in 8 away matches.
  • Bahia has a high motivation to secure a Europa League qualification spot and boasts a much more clinical attack.
  • High card expectancy due to Chapecoense's aggressive relegation survival tactics and a combined average of 4.95 cards per match.
Performance de la saison

Statistiques de la ligue

Bahia
17
Bahia
D
L
D
L
W
VS
Chapecoense-sc
17
Chapecoense-sc
L
D
L
L
L
41%
Taux de victoire
6%
1.6
Buts par match
0.5
1.1
Moy. buts encaissés
1.6
4
Clean sheet
1
1
N'a pas marqué
6
2.5
Moy. cartons jaunes
2.2
0.1
Moy. cartons rouges
0.1
100%
Réussite des penaltys
100%
2
Plus longue série de victoires
1

Formations les plus utilisées

Bahia

4-3-311 matchs
4-2-3-12 matchs
4-1-4-12 matchs

Chapecoense-sc

4-2-3-14 matchs
3-4-1-23 matchs
3-4-33 matchs

Picks pré-match

Sign up to see picks

Sign up to see picks
IDEAL

🔒 Locked Pick

IDEAL

🔒 Locked Pick

VALUE

🔒 Locked Pick

EKSTRA

🔒 Locked Pick

Prodict AI

Équipe Analytique Prodict

Ingénieurs IA Data & Prédiction

Cette analyse est produite par le modèle d'intelligence artificielle principal de Prodict. En traitant des millions de données football historiques et en temps réel, le modèle détecte les paris valeur et les avantages algorithmiques indépendamment du biais humain.

Questions fréquemment posées

Qui va gagner entre Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc ?

Bahia welcomes bottom-of-the-table Chapecoense-sc to the Arena Fonte Nova in a highly consequential Serie A clash. Bahia, currently sitting in 6th place, is firmly in the hunt for a Europa League qualification spot. They have shown decent home stability and possess a significantly stronger squad than their opponents. On the other hand, Chapecoense-sc is rooted to the bottom of the table in 20th place. While their motivation for survival is extremely high, their on-field performances have been disastrous, especially on the road, where they have failed to win a single match this season (W0 D2 L6) and scored only 4 goals in 8 games.

Quelle est la prédiction IA pour Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc ?

Analyzing the offensive and defensive metrics reveals a stark contrast between the two sides. Bahia averages 1.5 goals scored per match overall, with their home average rising to 1.6 goals per game. Defensively, they concede 1.1 goals per game at Arena Fonte Nova. Chapecoense's away attack is virtually non-existent, averaging a mere 0.5 goals per match while conceding 1.6 goals per game on their travels. Chapecoense's shot conversion is also highly inefficient, averaging 8.3 shots per match but only 2.8 on target (34% accuracy), whereas Bahia is much more clinical with 4.5 shots on target from 8.5 shots per match (53% accuracy). This efficiency gap will likely dictate the flow of the game, with Bahia dominating possession and territory.

Analyse terminée !

Ne manquez pas les autres matchs ! Inscrivez-vous gratuitement pour voir les analyses pré-match quotidiennes détaillées et les prédictions de paris IA.

S'inscrire gratuitement