By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
May 3, 2026
Match Result: 4 - 0
%50 Taux de succès

AS Roma vs Fiorentina Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Analyse pré-match

This Serie A clash at the Stadio Olimpico features a highly motivated AS Roma side pushing for a Europa League spot against a mid-table Fiorentina team with little left to play for. Roma's season has been defined by their formidable home form, where they have won 11 of 17 matches and boast one of the league's best defensive records, conceding a mere 0.6 goals per game on average. Their motivation is sky-high as they sit in 6th place, making every point crucial in the final stretch of the season.

Aperçus de la saison
Données calculées à partir de tous les matchs de la saison
AS RomaAS Roma
VS
FiorentinaFiorentina
16/37
Plus de 2,5 buts
16/37
13/37
Les deux équipes ont marqué
16/37
29/37
Moins de 3,5 buts
29/37
20/37
A marqué en premier
8/37
17/37
Clean sheet
10/37
7/37
N'a pas marqué
11/37
32/37
Moins de 4,5 cartons
27/37
1.9
Moy. cartons/match
2.3

Fiorentina, conversely, has struggled on their travels, securing only four wins in 17 away fixtures and conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. While they are on a five-match unbeaten run, this has been against teams of similar or lower standing, and they have failed to score in over a third of their away matches (35%). Roma's defensive efficiency at home is a stark contrast; they have kept a clean sheet in 53% of their games at the Olimpico. This defensive solidity versus offensive inconsistency on the road forms the central dynamic of this matchup.

The statistical patterns strongly suggest a cagey start. Both Roma and Fiorentina have seen Over 1.5 goals in the first half in only 21% of their respective matches this season, with a combined average of just 0.94 goals in the opening 45 minutes. This points towards a tactical battle early on, with the game likely opening up in the second half, where both teams have historically scored and conceded more frequently. Disciplinary action is also a key angle, as Fiorentina averages 2.29 yellow cards per game, a figure that often rises in tough away fixtures. The combined card average for their matches is over four per game.

Considering Roma's pressing need for a victory, their stellar home defense, and Fiorentina's poor away record, a home win seems the most probable outcome. The value lies in combining this with Roma's defensive strength, predicting a win without conceding. The low-scoring nature of both teams' first halves makes an Under 1.5 goals bet for that period a statistically sound choice. Finally, the clash of a high-stakes match for Roma and Fiorentina's physical style makes the card market an attractive proposition.

Buts par minute
Distribution des temps de but tout au long de la saison
AS Roma: 57
Fiorentina: 40
Total: 97

Analyse générée par IA — Transparente & Vérifiée

Cette prédiction a été générée par le moteur IA de Prodict, analysant 330+ métriques statistiques.

Facteurs clés pré-match

  • AS Roma has an elite home defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per game at the Stadio Olimpico.
  • Fiorentina struggles offensively on the road, failing to score in 35% of their away matches.
  • There is a significant motivation gap, with Roma fighting for a European place while Fiorentina is safe in mid-table.
  • Both teams have a strong tendency for low-scoring first halves, with Under 1.5 goals hitting in 79% of their respective games.
Performance de la saison

Statistiques de la ligue

AS Roma
37
AS Roma
D
W
W
W
W
VS
Fiorentina
37
Fiorentina
D
D
L
D
W
59%
Taux de victoire
24%
1.7
Buts par match
1.1
0.5
Moy. buts encaissés
1.5
17
Clean sheet
10
7
N'a pas marqué
11
1.8
Moy. cartons jaunes
2.2
0.1
Moy. cartons rouges
0.1
100%
Réussite des penaltys
100%
3
Plus longue série de victoires
2

Formations les plus utilisées

AS Roma

3-4-2-129 matchs
3-4-1-24 matchs
3-5-23 matchs

Fiorentina

4-3-314 matchs
3-5-28 matchs
3-4-2-13 matchs

Picks pré-match

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Prodict AI

Équipe Analytique Prodict

Ingénieurs IA Data & Prédiction

Cette analyse est produite par le modèle d'intelligence artificielle principal de Prodict. En traitant des millions de données football historiques et en temps réel, le modèle détecte les paris valeur et les avantages algorithmiques indépendamment du biais humain.

Questions fréquemment posées

Qui va gagner entre AS Roma vs Fiorentina ?

This Serie A clash at the Stadio Olimpico features a highly motivated AS Roma side pushing for a Europa League spot against a mid-table Fiorentina team with little left to play for. Roma's season has been defined by their formidable home form, where they have won 11 of 17 matches and boast one of the league's best defensive records, conceding a mere 0.6 goals per game on average. Their motivation is sky-high as they sit in 6th place, making every point crucial in the final stretch of the season.

Quelle est la prédiction IA pour AS Roma vs Fiorentina ?

Fiorentina, conversely, has struggled on their travels, securing only four wins in 17 away fixtures and conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. While they are on a five-match unbeaten run, this has been against teams of similar or lower standing, and they have failed to score in over a third of their away matches (35%). Roma's defensive efficiency at home is a stark contrast; they have kept a clean sheet in 53% of their games at the Olimpico. This defensive solidity versus offensive inconsistency on the road forms the central dynamic of this matchup.

Analyse terminée !

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