By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
April 17, 2026
Match Result: 1 - 2
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Newcastle vs Bournemouth Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Análisis Pre-Partido

This Premier League fixture features two mid-table teams, Newcastle and Bournemouth, with little pressure from relegation or for European spots. Newcastle's recent form is concerning, with three losses in their last five matches. Their home record at St. James' Park is respectable (W8 D2 L6), where they average 1.8 goals scored but also concede a high 1.6 goals per game. However, their squad is critically weakened by the absence of their best player, Bruno Guimarães, due to injury, and the suspension of the physical midfielder Joelinton. These absences significantly impact their midfield control and creative output.

Perspectivas de la Temporada
Datos calculados de todos los partidos de la temporada
NewcastleNewcastle
VS
BournemouthBournemouth
20/37
Over 2.5 Goles
21/37
21/37
Ambos Equipos Marcaron
19/37
25/37
Under 3.5 Goles
24/37
13/37
Marcó Primero
12/37
8/37
Portería a Cero
11/37
8/37
No Marcó
7/37
33/37
Under 4.5 Tarjetas
26/37
1.8
Prom. Tarjetas/Partido
2.4

Bournemouth arrives in a peculiar state of form, having drawn four of their last five matches, showcasing resilience but a lack of a killer instinct. They are the league's draw specialists, with 15 draws in 32 matches (47%). Their away form is a story of defensive frailty; while they manage to score an impressive 1.6 goals per game on the road, they concede an alarming 2.0 goals. This defensive vulnerability away from home is a consistent theme and a key factor for this matchup. The two head-to-head encounters this season have both ended in draws (2-2 and 0-0), suggesting the teams are evenly matched.

Given Newcastle's depleted squad and Bournemouth's tendency to draw, a close game is expected. Both teams have demonstrated consistent goal-scoring ability but also defensive weaknesses. Newcastle's potent home attack will likely test Bournemouth's leaky away defense, while Bournemouth's counter-attacking threat and ability to score on the road should trouble a Newcastle side missing key defensive personnel. The statistics for both teams point towards goals, with high averages for goals per game and a 66% BTTS rate for both sides this season. The combination of Newcastle's injuries and Bournemouth's stubborn, draw-heavy nature makes a stalemate a very plausible outcome.

Goles por Minuto
Distribución del tiempo de goles a lo largo de la temporada
Newcastle: 55
Bournemouth: 59
Total: 114

Análisis Generado por IA — Transparente y Verificado

Esta predicción fue generada por el motor de IA de Prodict, analizando más de 330 métricas estadísticas incluyendo xG, forma del equipo, datos de jugadores, tendencias del árbitro y cuotas en tiempo real en 19 categorías de mercado.

Factores Clave Pre-Partido

  • Newcastle are missing their best player, Bruno Guimarães, and key midfielder Joelinton.
  • Bournemouth has drawn 15 of 32 league games (47%), including 4 of their last 5.
  • Bournemouth's away matches are high-scoring, with them conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Rendimiento de la Temporada

Estadísticas de la Liga

Newcastle
37
Newcastle
L
L
W
D
W
VS
Bournemouth
37
Bournemouth
W
D
W
W
D
38%
Tasa de Victoria
35%
1.9
Goles por Partido
1.6
1.6
Prom. Goles Encajados
1.8
8
Portería a Cero
11
8
No Marcó
7
1.8
Prom. Tarjetas Amarillas
2.4
0.1
Prom. Tarjetas Rojas
0.1
100%
Éxito en Penales
100%
3
Racha de Victorias Más Larga
3

Formaciones Más Usadas

Newcastle

4-3-327 partidos
4-2-3-16 partidos
5-3-21 partidos

Bournemouth

4-2-3-135 partidos
4-1-4-12 partidos

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Ingenieros de Datos e IA de Predicciones

Este análisis es producido por el modelo central de inteligencia artificial de Prodict. Al procesar millones de puntos de datos de fútbol históricos y en tiempo real, el modelo detecta apuestas de valor y ventajas algorítmicas independientemente del sesgo humano.

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Quién ganará entre Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

This Premier League fixture features two mid-table teams, Newcastle and Bournemouth, with little pressure from relegation or for European spots. Newcastle's recent form is concerning, with three losses in their last five matches. Their home record at St. James' Park is respectable (W8 D2 L6), where they average 1.8 goals scored but also concede a high 1.6 goals per game. However, their squad is critically weakened by the absence of their best player, Bruno Guimarães, due to injury, and the suspension of the physical midfielder Joelinton. These absences significantly impact their midfield control and creative output.

¿Cuál es la predicción de IA para Newcastle vs Bournemouth?

Bournemouth arrives in a peculiar state of form, having drawn four of their last five matches, showcasing resilience but a lack of a killer instinct. They are the league's draw specialists, with 15 draws in 32 matches (47%). Their away form is a story of defensive frailty; while they manage to score an impressive 1.6 goals per game on the road, they concede an alarming 2.0 goals. This defensive vulnerability away from home is a consistent theme and a key factor for this matchup. The two head-to-head encounters this season have both ended in draws (2-2 and 0-0), suggesting the teams are evenly matched.

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