By Prodict Editorial TeamAI-assisted, human-reviewed
August 15, 2026
Match Result: 3 - 3
%25 Tasa de Éxito

Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia Predictions & AI Betting Tips

Análisis Pre-Partido

Chapecoense-sc hosts Bahia in a Serie A matchup defined by a massive gap in overall team quality and form. Chapecoense sits rooted to the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 1 win from 21 matches (1W 7D 13L) and a severe -23 goal differential. They face 6th-placed Bahia (8W 9D 5L), who are actively contending for continental qualification and enter this fixture unbeaten in their last 5 matches. Chapecoense enters under heavy pressure with high squad injury attrition, while Bahia holds both motivational and structural edges.

Perspectivas de la Temporada
Datos calculados de todos los partidos de la temporada
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
VS
BahiaBahia
15/25
Over 2.5 Goles
14/26
15/25
Ambos Equipos Marcaron
15/26
16/25
Under 3.5 Goles
18/26
3/25
Marcó Primero
10/26
2/25
Portería a Cero
8/26
8/25
No Marcó
3/26
19/25
Under 4.5 Tarjetas
18/26
2.3
Prom. Tarjetas/Partido
2.4

From a tactical and efficiency standpoint, Chapecoense's defensive unit has collapsed, conceding 2.05 goals per match overall and an alarming 2.4 goals per match at home (24 goals conceded in 10 home games). Their measured recent stats highlight an defensive leak with an xGA of 1.42 and actual 2.13 goals conceded per game over their last 8 matches. Conversely, Bahia generates far greater territorial dominance and offensive output, averaging 15.14 shots per match and 1.31 xG in their recent outing sample while limiting opponents to 0.8 xGA.

Statistically, key micro-markets present very clear backing. Chapecoense has failed to score first in 100% of recorded games this season (0% ScoredFirst rate), consistently conceding early control to opponents. Bahia defeated Chapecoense 2-0 comfortably in their meeting just one month ago. Additionally, measured corners reflect dynamic wide play with both teams combining for an average of ~10.8 total corners per match in recent fixtures. Discipline is also expected to intensify as Chapecoense battles survival, where combined cards average 4.56 per match.

Main uncertainties revolve around Bahia's high frequency of draws away from home (3 draws in 10 away trips, along with 4 consecutive draws in recent league games). However, facing the league's weakest home defense provides Bahia the ideal setting to secure a full three points.

Goles por Minuto
Distribución del tiempo de goles a lo largo de la temporada
Chapecoense-sc: 28
Bahia: 40
Total: 68

Análisis Generado por IA — Transparente y Verificado

Esta predicción fue generada por el motor de IA de Prodict, analizando más de 330 métricas estadísticas incluyendo xG, forma del equipo, datos de jugadores, tendencias del árbitro y cuotas en tiempo real en 19 categorías de mercado.

Factores Clave Pre-Partido

  • Chapecoense sits bottom of Serie A in 20th place with 1 win in 21 games and 43 goals conceded (2.4 per home game).
  • Chapecoense has conceded the first goal in 100% of recorded fixtures this season (0% ScoredFirst rate).
  • Bahia defeated Chapecoense 2-0 in their recent head-to-head meeting on July 17th.
  • Measured recent match stats show a combined corner average of ~10.8 per match between both clubs.
  • Both teams combine for 4.56 cards per match, with card frequency escalating heavily in second halves (59 combined 2H yellow cards).
Rendimiento de la Temporada

Estadísticas de la Liga

Chapecoense-sc
25
Chapecoense-sc
L
D
W
L
W
VS
Bahia
26
Bahia
D
D
W
W
W
12%
Tasa de Victoria
42%
1.4
Goles por Partido
1.5
2.3
Prom. Goles Encajados
1.5
2
Portería a Cero
8
8
No Marcó
3
2.2
Prom. Tarjetas Amarillas
2.4
0.1
Prom. Tarjetas Rojas
0.1
66%
Éxito en Penales
75%
1
Racha de Victorias Más Larga
2

Formaciones Más Usadas

Chapecoense-sc

4-2-3-18 partidos
3-4-1-23 partidos
3-4-33 partidos

Bahia

4-3-316 partidos
4-2-3-13 partidos
4-1-4-12 partidos

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Equipo de Análisis de Prodict

Ingenieros de Datos e IA de Predicciones

Este análisis es producido por el modelo central de inteligencia artificial de Prodict. Al procesar millones de puntos de datos de fútbol históricos y en tiempo real, el modelo detecta apuestas de valor y ventajas algorítmicas independientemente del sesgo humano.

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Quién ganará entre Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia?

Chapecoense-sc hosts Bahia in a Serie A matchup defined by a massive gap in overall team quality and form. Chapecoense sits rooted to the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 1 win from 21 matches (1W 7D 13L) and a severe -23 goal differential. They face 6th-placed Bahia (8W 9D 5L), who are actively contending for continental qualification and enter this fixture unbeaten in their last 5 matches. Chapecoense enters under heavy pressure with high squad injury attrition, while Bahia holds both motivational and structural edges.

¿Cuál es la predicción de IA para Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia?

From a tactical and efficiency standpoint, Chapecoense's defensive unit has collapsed, conceding 2.05 goals per match overall and an alarming 2.4 goals per match at home (24 goals conceded in 10 home games). Their measured recent stats highlight an defensive leak with an xGA of 1.42 and actual 2.13 goals conceded per game over their last 8 matches. Conversely, Bahia generates far greater territorial dominance and offensive output, averaging 15.14 shots per match and 1.31 xG in their recent outing sample while limiting opponents to 0.8 xGA.

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