Derry City vs HNK Rijeka Prediction & AI Analysis

Derry scored in 10 of 13 home league matches this season (77%), averaging 1.6 goals/match at home, and are forced to attack here trailing 0-1 on aggregate. Rijeka's only measured data point is a 1-0 clean sheet in the first leg (their home game), but they have zero recorded away matches this season, so there's no real evidence they can replicate that shutout on the road. Implied probability is 61.7% vs our ~75% read. Risk: Rijeka may sit extremely deep to protect the tie, as their single available match suggests a defensively disciplined setup.